Random bursts of luck in boxes/drafts

TenwetheTenwethe Registered Users, Member 88 Posts
I don't know about you guys, but I feel there may be some subtle mechanic that controls pulls. I rarely pull something good out of the blue, but, more often than not, when I pull something "good" it is usually part of a group of consecutive "good" pulls. For example, a while back I was having really bad luck for a while. I then opened three All star boxes and got three all stars. Immediately afterwards, I opened a bauer mookie box to get bauer first try. I had bad luck for a while after that. I feel that these bursts of luck happen very often with similar situations such as back-to-back five stars from first round drafts or three five stars out of four from #1 drafts. I want to know if this happens to any of you all.
Arenado or I will put Beuhler on DL
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Comments

  • ExposMontrealExposMontreal Registered Users, Member 242 Posts
    Really does feel that way, it's been 2 weekends that I can't pull anything from the special boxes
    ExposMontreal - 71K Strenght - Silver V
    “There was always something missing in Montreal.” – Pedro Martinez
  • LonzoBallinLonzoBallin Registered Users, Member 636 Posts
    I don't know about the theory, but I was 0 for 15 on Carew boxes this weekend so I really hope I have a lucky streak coming my way.
    Proud TSB VIP!
  • jarttjartt Registered Users, Member 16 Posts
    I don't know about the theory, but I was 0 for 15 on Carew boxes this weekend so I really hope I have a lucky streak coming my way.
    i was 0-12... i don’t think i’ve seen anyone pull him
  • bigbacondizzle23bigbacondizzle23 Registered Users, Member 54 Posts
    I got an Archer prime out of the Rivals gift this weekend
  • LudwigMonsterLudwigMonster Registered Users, Member 381 Posts
    I pulled a skilled Yelich (Max of 360) from one of the freebie rivals boxes.
  • fcooper23fcooper23 Registered Users, Member 10 Posts
    With boxes I wait till it shakes 3 times and It usually gives me something decent
  • SandpipersSandpipers Registered Users, Member 1,327 Posts
    One of my teams pulled Prime MR John Axford max 359 today.... to add to Prime SP Dickey max 370.... and Prime SR Street max 370.... thats random luck for ya! Lol
    It's all done with mirrors
  • nadeezynadeezy Registered Users, Member 77 Posts
    I also pulled axford today
  • nadeezynadeezy Registered Users, Member 77 Posts
    But I do agree. One weekend I pulled three event players in a row. The next weekend I went 1-21 or something like that
  • maddmaxx67maddmaxx67 Registered Users, Member 140 Posts
    edited August 2018

    I was 0-9 on pulling Carew, got up in the middle of the night to go to the bathroom and noticed Carew had 1 hour left before the boxes went away. I had 4K gold left over and decided I would let it ride. Got Carew on first box.
  • mehmehmeh1mehmehmeh1 Registered Users, Member 30 Posts
    Nice! That lefty/righty specialist skill is awesome. Lucky!
  • LonzoBallinLonzoBallin Registered Users, Member 636 Posts


    I was 0-9 on pulling Carew, got up in the middle of the night to go to the bathroom and noticed Carew had 1 hour left before the boxes went away. I had 4K gold left over and decided I would let it ride. Got Carew on first box.

    Congrats man, awesome story!
    Proud TSB VIP!
  • scottpdannscottpdann Registered Users, Member 162 Posts
    It can be very streaky for me. I noticed my top row for WoH this week had three new faces and hadn't changed much before that. Weeks of nothing then pulled Lowrie with skill from last week's box. Got PotM Carpenter from 1st day in "week of awesome" and Prime Posey from day 2. Day 3 and 4 were not awesome at all. I hope 5, 6, and 7 are more like 1 and 2. A switch-hitter, a good lefty, and a prime catcher. All things that helped my team.
  • ExposMontrealExposMontreal Registered Users, Member 242 Posts
    0-4 this week on POTW, 0-45 on Weekend boxes in the last 2 weeks, 1-6 on POTM....
    ExposMontreal - 71K Strenght - Silver V
    “There was always something missing in Montreal.” – Pedro Martinez
  • LonzoBallinLonzoBallin Registered Users, Member 636 Posts

    0-4 this week on POTW, 0-45 on Weekend boxes in the last 2 weeks, 1-6 on POTM....

    Ouch. I'd say you're due! I have a feeling you're going to pull something sweet with the POM free pick today. Good luck!
    Proud TSB VIP!
  • SandpipersSandpipers Registered Users, Member 1,327 Posts
    I'll often do way better with the free boxes and gifts then I do buying them. I didn't get a single all star from many purchased boxes, but eventually got 6 of them from CvC or gifts. However I pulled prime Bregman and Stripling from that special mvp box on the first 3 tries. I gave up buying prime draft picks (0-34) but have several now from gifts. Couldn't get potw or potm players to save my life, then the last two weeks I got a few on first tries. Sometimes I can't pull anything but xp or cash ugh and sometimes I can pull 9 straight players (not the good ones of course) and no xp or cash at all...so yeah it definitely goes in cycles
    It's all done with mirrors
  • nym5fannym5fan Registered Users, Member 767 Posts
    I notice random streaks of luck. They are far and few between though. I had a nice streak a few weeks ago. improved my silver 10 team from 40k strength to 67k strength within a week.
    From Wentz he came, he shall be returned!
  • redlegs2018uredlegs2018u Registered Users, Member 1,048 Posts
    I used all of my RNG after getting a Willie Mays from a mini Mays box from CvC this past Sunday now trying slowly to grind gold to get him to at least capped silver as silver to gold will be another beast altogether.
  • redlegs2018uredlegs2018u Registered Users, Member 1,048 Posts
    I used all of my RNG after getting a Willie Mays from a mini Mays box from CvC.
  • maddmaxx67maddmaxx67 Registered Users, Member 140 Posts
    Since I got both Ruth and Carew within hours of the deadline on Legend Boxes expiration, am curious if the odds improve at all towards the end of specials or if it was dumb luck?
  • maddmaxx67maddmaxx67 Registered Users, Member 140 Posts
    Since I got both Ruth and Carew within hours of the deadline on Legend Boxes expiration, am curious if the odds improve at all towards the end of specials?
  • maddmaxx67maddmaxx67 Registered Users, Member 140 Posts
    Since I got both Ruth and Carew within hours of the deadline on Legend Boxes expiration, am curious if the odds improve at all towards the end of specials?
  • maddmaxx67maddmaxx67 Registered Users, Member 140 Posts
    Since I got both Ruth and Carew within hours of the deadline on Legend Boxes expiration, am curious if the odds improve at all towards the end of specials or if it was dumb luck?
  • maddmaxx67maddmaxx67 Registered Users, Member 140 Posts
    Since I got both Ruth and Carew within hours of the deadline on Legend Boxes expiration, am curious if the odds improve at all towards the end of specials?
  • maddmaxx67maddmaxx67 Registered Users, Member 140 Posts
    Since I got both Ruth and Carew within hours of the deadline on Legend Boxes expiration, am curious if the odds improve at all towards the end of specials?
  • lumberjackerlumberjacker Registered Users, Member 20 Posts
    I wonder if they don't boost the odds on certain boxes. I ended up hitting good on the rivals boxes too. ended up with 4 of the top players including Prime Familia and Prime Correa.
  • lumberjackerlumberjacker Registered Users, Member 20 Posts
    I wonder if they don't boost the odds on certain boxes. I ended up hitting good on the rivals boxes too. ended up with 4 of the top players including Prime Familia and Prime Correa.
  • miggyrisingmiggyrising Registered Users, Member 162 Posts
    edited September 2018
    I repeat for all those who aren't paying attention.

    THERE IS NO RANDOM NUMBER GENERATOR AT WORK IN THIS GAME!!!!

    That's a straight up lie told by Customer Service to get people off their backs. The Development Team might have told Customer Service this lie first to get them off their backs. 

    IT'S A MYTH. A LIE. BULLSHIT. SHENANIGANS. 

    If you don't believe me, I'll repost these here. I have many more. And I have more than two months of meticulously catalogued draftpicks and box pulls that clearly show there is no randomness and the listed odds are not connected in any fashion to the results .
  • miggyrisingmiggyrising Registered Users, Member 162 Posts
    To put a finer point on this, if two slot machines on a casino floor ever synchronized for more than 3 consecutive pulls, the casino would immediately shut down their entire floor and disclose the issue to state gaming officials. If they didn't, they'd face the potential of massive fines and possible loss of their gaming license. 

    Only after a thorough investigation would the casino or the regulators reopen that floor to accept money again. 

    If this game didn't involve real money or didn't involve issuing prizes from drawings and loot boxes, there wouldn't be an issue . Because it does, no reasonable person, knowing the odds and outcomes are centrally manipulated, would spend a dime. 
  • MetsicansMetsicans Registered Users, Member 1,046 Posts
    But what are you saying Miggy? The Wizard of Oz is sitting behind some curtain in San Francisco deciding when I get to pull a legend?  If it's not random, what is it?
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