This weekend was my grind it out weekend, having just jumped to Gold. I’m doing this the old fashion way, as a couple bad luck weekends have me reluctant to spend any real money on this game.
I spent the entire weekend grinding videos like a madman....only to get GLU’d like crazy on Sunday.
Bought 24 boxes this event
Bought 12-13 boxes today and pulled one single player, who just happens to be a duplicate of the guy I landed Friday.
so the math here is 5 players Friday. 5-12
Sunday it’s 1-12. I landed BXP on probably 8 of them
I don’t care what you tell me....the posted odds are completely fabricated.
right now I’m sitting at 9/12 on the 3 Hole Boxes....and I don’t even want to spend the 4.99 to guarantee the Prime pull because I’m nearly certain it’s just going to be Braun again
I disagreed and here is why.
The box rate pulls are not fabricated. You got lucky on Friday with 5 player pulls in 12, then had a regression back to the mean. Just because you had a run of worse luck than 2 days before doesn’t mean the odds are wrong. Stated odds for the 3-hole box were 25% for a player, so you got 6 players in 24 boxes which is, you guessed it, 25%
Im an idiot. I’ll blame that on typing after I had 6 beers before bed.
i failed to include the (10) boxes I won from 5 CVC MVP’s....and the (1) box from gifts. In the OP, I simply took gold spent, divided by 500 to calculate how many I had purchased.
So there are (11) additional boxes not included in that post.
Additionally, the mathematical oddity here isn’t just in number of player pulls, but the rate of BXP vs PXP and LXP in that box
Im an idiot. I’ll blame that on typing after I had 6 beers before bed.
i failed to include the (10) boxes I won from 5 CVC MVP’s....and the (1) box from gifts. In the OP, I simply took gold spent, divided by 500 to calculate how many I had purchased.
So there are (11) additional boxes not included in that post.
Additionally, the mathematical oddity here isn’t just in number of player pulls, but the rate of BXP vs PXP and LXP in that box
It’s honestly still better math than @dkarski87 does when 100% sober. So you’ve got that going for you.
There are ebbs and flows when it comes to boxes though. Any diamond player can tell you how frustrating it is to get franchise coins from 8 tournament boxes in a row, but over 100 boxes the odds hold true.
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i failed to include the (10) boxes I won from 5 CVC MVP’s....and the (1) box from gifts. In the OP, I simply took gold spent, divided by 500 to calculate how many I had purchased.
Additionally, the mathematical oddity here isn’t just in number of player pulls, but the rate of BXP vs PXP and LXP in that box
– The Great Houmy
Maybe this is due to the insane number of children in my house....but I read that sequence in the voice of Kowalski, the penguin from Madagascar
Which to my addled brain was 1000 time funnier