It looks that way, but we’re a small sample size in the grand scheme of things. The 3 players in my club who cycled got 1 Betts, 1 Rizzo, and 8 Judges combined which skews things even more that way. I’m getting fewer opportunities due to manually batting much more often looking for resources especially blue cash to fuel tourneys for more bonus games so I can cycle D6 the two times a week I’m hoping to accomplish.
Great idea to gather this info from the regulars to the forum . I as well have been frustrated with a lack of quality in the players I draw. I pulled Mantle in September , since then, the quality players I have added were purchased .
Thanks for doing this. Just because they say the odds are one thing doesn’t mean they’re being truthful. Also, if Apple requires them to be up front with us, why is it acceptable just to put “legend 100”. That’s not a full breakdown and allows them to subvert the system. I’m also wondering how they are even held accountable for these numbers? They’re making real money off people attempting to get these players who believe they have a certain shot at attaining them. These are all fair questions.
Thanks for doing this. Just because they say the odds are one thing doesn’t mean they’re being truthful. Also, if Apple requires them to be up front with us, why is it acceptable just to put “legend 100”. That’s not a full breakdown and allows them to subvert the system. I’m also wondering how they are even held accountable for these numbers? They’re making real money off people attempting to get these players who believe they have a certain shot at attaining them. These are all fair questions.
I asked about this with the legend box for $29.99. Here is their response
The 50% Judge looks off, but not so far off as to not possibly be a statistical anomaly.
I think the biggest thing that sticks out to me is 15 pulls of Betts and 2 combined of Mantle and Ruth. My understanding has always been that the legends in the WOH box have an equal odds opportunity of being pulled. That's clearly not the case.
My main issue i guess is when they have legend players listed at a 10% percent pull with 4 of them in there. Are we really to believe that all 4 legends have the same odds of being pulled (2.5% each). It seems like there is always one in that group that is pulled a lot more then the others. Yesterday it was Mookie, monday it was Rizzuto and previously guys like Holiday Baez, Holiday Trout and Holiday Ozzie Smith get pulled much more then the LLs and ATGs.
1/23/19 - 11 cycles 6 Judge 4 Rizzo 1 Stanton. it's been a while since I got a top guy - always pull players I already had. Stanton was the one I got that I didn't have yesterday and he was my last cycle so only got to slow play him for about 1/2 hour.
So between Mantle, Ruth and Nola you have a 1.5% chance to pull 1 of the 3. WOW. And looks like Mantle was nearly 0% chance. I am sure someone got him.... just not in this thread yet lol.
We're starting to normalize a tad bit here. At one point we were nearly 2/3 Judge with way less than 10 percent for legends overall and with only 1 Ruth and 1 Nola. Right now, we're right at just under 10 percent legends (primarily Betts) and about 56% Judge.
It looks like the odds may be what they really say they are, but it looks like the premium legends (or ATGs in this case) are much, much rarer. Confirms what I thought. With 250 cycles since Black Friday, I'm still overdue for one though haha.
Comments
I pulled Mantle in September , since then, the quality players I have added were purchased .
Thanks for doing this. Just because they say the odds are one thing doesn’t mean they’re being truthful. Also, if Apple requires them to be up front with us, why is it acceptable just to put “legend 100”. That’s not a full breakdown and allows them to subvert the system. I’m also wondering how they are even held accountable for these numbers? They’re making real money off people attempting to get these players who believe they have a certain shot at attaining them. These are all fair questions.
---------------
0 - Mantle
2 - Ruth
1 - Nola
9 - Betts
111 - Judge
31 - Rizzo
26 - Stanton
** added Babybombers9
– The Great Houmy
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0 - Mantle
2 - Ruth
2 - Nola
15 - Betts
142 - Judge
38 - Rizzo
36 - Stanton
** added dkarski87's numbers
I think the biggest thing that sticks out to me is 15 pulls of Betts and 2 combined of Mantle and Ruth. My understanding has always been that the legends in the WOH box have an equal odds opportunity of being pulled. That's clearly not the case.
1/23/19 -- 6 cycles, pulled Judge x3, Stanton x2 and Rizzo.
On my second account, one cycle, pulled Judge.
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0 - Mantle
2 - Ruth
2 - Nola
15 - Betts
151 - Judge
43 - Rizzo
39 - Stanton
** added Metsicans and Husker
Add 3 Betts 6 Rizzo 9 Judge 2 Staton to your tally
---------------
0 - Mantle
3 - Ruth
2 - Nola
25 - Betts
177 - Judge
60 - Rizzo
48 - Stanton
** added the 7 guys above
And looks like Mantle was nearly 0% chance. I am sure someone got him.... just not in this thread yet lol.
---------------
0 - Mantle
4 - Ruth
2 - Nola
25 - Betts
178 - Judge
61 - Rizzo
49 - Stanton
** added Aceseh
We're starting to normalize a tad bit here. At one point we were nearly 2/3 Judge with way less than 10 percent for legends overall and with only 1 Ruth and 1 Nola. Right now, we're right at just under 10 percent legends (primarily Betts) and about 56% Judge.
It looks like the odds may be what they really say they are, but it looks like the premium legends (or ATGs in this case) are much, much rarer. Confirms what I thought. With 250 cycles since Black Friday, I'm still overdue for one though haha.