Had lots of desirable players in the box & after I pulled SP Ohtani on box1, I went all out. 22k got them all. Already traded in Devers w/BO skill as that XP helped me eek out 3 maxes...

Had lots of desirable players in the box & after I pulled SP Ohtani on box1, I went all out. 22k got them all. Already traded in Devers w/BO skill as that XP helped me eek out 3 maxes...

That’s got my players....30k spent, boxes from Field pass and both the huge value specials that have popped and ZER0 five star players.

I didn't even spend as much as some of you guys who got screwed, but after 14,000 in the drain, I felt screwed enough to do some math and see just how unlucky I was on Excel. I guess I should feel lucky to be apart of only 23% of people that that should be in position, with ZERO 5 Stars!!! I can't imagine the feeling for guys that are 20 or 30k deep at this point with the same anger. 30k Gold Spent would mean you have a 95.4% chance of at least pulling at least ONE, which blows my mind that there are people who still can't get one.

I didn't even spend as much as some of you guys who got screwed, but after 14,000 in the drain, I felt screwed enough to do some math and see just how unlucky I was on Excel. I guess I should feel lucky to be apart of only 23% of people that that should be in position, with ZERO 5 Stars!!! I can't imagine the feeling for guys that are 20 or 30k deep at this point with the same anger. 30k Gold Spent would mean you have a 95.4% chance of at least pulling at least ONE, which blows my mind that there are people who still can't get one.

Check it out for yourself!

OMLORD this is awesome!! Great job!!

Hate to pile on the work but keep tabs for each box too. I’d love to see how their rigged bullshit changes.

"Will you wear a MAGA hat while you suffocate on my pork sword?" - @retirepujols

I didn't even spend as much as some of you guys who got screwed, but after 14,000 in the drain, I felt screwed enough to do some math and see just how unlucky I was on Excel. I guess I should feel lucky to be apart of only 23% of people that that should be in position, with ZERO 5 Stars!!! I can't imagine the feeling for guys that are 20 or 30k deep at this point with the same anger. 30k Gold Spent would mean you have a 95.4% chance of at least pulling at least ONE, which blows my mind that there are people who still can't get one.

Check it out for yourself!

OMLORD this is awesome!! Great job!!

Hate to pile on the work but keep tabs for each box too. I’d love to see how their rigged bullshit changes.

For Sure! Looking forward to documenting all these failures in one place haha

I didn't even spend as much as some of you guys who got screwed, but after 14,000 in the drain, I felt screwed enough to do some math and see just how unlucky I was on Excel. I guess I should feel lucky to be apart of only 23% of people that that should be in position, with ZERO 5 Stars!!! I can't imagine the feeling for guys that are 20 or 30k deep at this point with the same anger. 30k Gold Spent would mean you have a 95.4% chance of at least pulling at least ONE, which blows my mind that there are people who still can't get one.

Check it out for yourself!

Just to be clear I am liking the process not the results. I respect a good spreadsheet and this is one of the best I've seen on this game. Kudos and hope your luck turns around

@BigTuna421 - I validated your results using my go to binomial distribution applet. I think this is the gambler's fallacy in action - many players probably assume that they've had bad luck if they buy 20 boxes and don't hit on a 5-star, when in reality they have only given themselves a 64.1% chance. You would have to buy 13 of these boxes to even give yourself a coin flip chance. I wish you better luck at the TSB casino next week.

@SandlotGuru - You're dead on about Gambler's fallacy!!! I definitely used to assume my chances for opening multiple boxes like that, and thought I was just lacking average luck! At least I've curtailed my expectations a little bit moving forward, maybe I won't get as frustrated. I may just have to stay away from the casino for a while, or at least until I feel I stand a better chance lol.

@SandlotGuru - You're dead on about Gambler's fallacy!!! I definitely used to assume my chances for opening multiple boxes like that, and thought I was just lacking average luck! At least I've curtailed my expectations a little bit moving forward, maybe I won't get as frustrated. I may just have to stay away from the casino for a while, or at least until I feel I stand a better chance lol.

The gambler's fallacy happens when guys assume that their past results will impact future results. The formula you showed is a great way of weighing out risks and is something I constantly reference.

I didn't even spend as much as some of you guys who got screwed, but after 14,000 in the drain, I felt screwed enough to do some math and see just how unlucky I was on Excel. I guess I should feel lucky to be apart of only 23% of people that that should be in position, with ZERO 5 Stars!!! I can't imagine the feeling for guys that are 20 or 30k deep at this point with the same anger. 30k Gold Spent would mean you have a 95.4% chance of at least pulling at least ONE, which blows my mind that there are people who still can't get one.

Odds are never in favour of the user. Probability is why gamblers will always hit rock bottom. This is why over and over a player feels like they have a chance. Stick to legitimate math. Not this shít gamblers use to justify a chance at odds.

## Comments

YOUR GAME IS BULLSHIT!

i can’t even right now.

you can't spell deteriorate without Detroit